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Hurricane Milton: What we know so far about the storm that has forced millions to evacuate in the US and Mexico

Hurricane Milton: What we know so far about the storm that has forced millions to evacuate in the US and Mexico

Hurricane Milton is set to make landfall in the US as a Category 4 storm, just days after Hurricane Helene caused more than 200 deaths and widespread devastation across several states.

Millions are facing the possibility of being evacuated as the storm swirls towards the US mainland – and is expected to roar into Florida tomorrow.

The fire service said “if you remain there, you could die”, while there have been warnings that debris caused by Hurricane Helene could be picked up and turned into projectiles in the strong winds.

But what do we know about the hurricane so far and what does it mean for people in its path?

Where is the hurricane now and when will it hit the US?

Milton is currently heading towards the US at 12mph (19kph) and is sucking energy from the Gulf of Mexico’s warm water.

It is expected to have winds of up to 129mph when it hits the shores in the Tampa Bay area on Florida’s west coast on Wednesday, and has already sustained maximum winds of 180mph (285kph).

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The region, home to more than three million people, has not experienced a direct hit by a major hurricane in more than a century.

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View of Hurricane Milton in new satellite image. Pic: Goes-East/Noaa/Planet Pix via ZUMA Press Wire/Shutterstock

The storm is also threatening Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula, where more than one million people have been ordered to evacuate.

On the upside, scientists expect Milton to weaken slightly before landfall, and its path through central Florida will spare the states devastated by Helene less than two weeks ago.

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What is the storm surge warning?

As of Tuesday morning, Tampa Bay is under both a hurricane warning and a storm surge warning, as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecasts that it could be inundated with surges between three to four metres high.

The NHC said that peak storm surge levels would be between the Anclote River and Englewood, a stretch of about 100 miles that includes Tampa and various islands and keys.

“The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline,” an update said.

A sculpture of Poseidon stands in the ocean before the arrival of Hurricane Milton in Progreso, Yucatan state, Mexico, Monday, Oct. 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Martin Zetina)
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A sculpture of Poseidon stands in the ocean before the arrival of Hurricane Milton in Progreso, Yucatan state, Mexico. Pic: AP

Clouds are seen over the beach as Hurricane Milton advances, in Progreso, Mexico, October 7, 2024. REUTERS/Lorenzo Hernandez REFILE - QUALITY REPEAT
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Clouds are seen over the beach as Hurricane Milton advances in Progreso, Mexico. Pic: AP

What measures are being taken to protect residents?

Hundreds of thousands of residents in communities along the western Gulf Coast were subject to evacuation orders.

In Florida, this means that first responders are not expected to risk their lives during a storm to rescue anyone who chooses to stay.

“If you remain there, you could die, and my men and women could die trying to rescue you,” Hillsborough Fire Rescue Chief Jason Dougherty said.

Hurricane Milton path
Image:
Hurricane Milton’s path

Hurricane Milton heads towards Florida

In a news conference this afternoon, Governor Ron DeSantis said the authorities are amassing up to 1.2 million fuel reserves and are ensuring that critical infrastructure – including hospitals and waste water treatment centres – have flood protection systems.

“We’ve never had this many resources prior to a storm,” he said.

There was significant traffic congestion on Monday as Tampa Bay residents escaped to safer areas in the north towards the Florida Panhandle or southeast to Fort Lauderdale and Miami.

Heavy traffic flows northbound on Interstate-75 as people evacuate the Tampa Bay area ahead of Hurricane Milton's arrival late Monday, Oct. 7, 2024, in Ocala, Fla. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
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Heavy traffic flows northbound on Interstate 75 as people evacuate the Tampa Bay area . Pic: AP

Traffic backs up on Florida highways as residents evacuate ahead of hurricane Milton's arrival to Florida, near Tampa, Florida, U.S., October 7, 2024, in this screen grab from a social media video. Hillsborough County Sheriff's Office via X/Handout via REUTERS THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. NO RESALES. NO ARCHIVES. MANDATORY CREDIT.
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Traffic backs up on a Florida highway. Pic: Reuters

President Joe Biden approved an emergency declaration for Florida, and US Representative Kathy Castor said 7,000 federal workers were on hand to help in one of the largest mobilisations of federal personnel in history.

“This is the real deal here with Milton,” Tampa mayor Jane Castor told a news conference on Monday. “If you want to take on Mother Nature, she wins 100% of the time.”

Meanwhile, Mexican officials were using buses to evacuate people from low-lying towns and cities.

How powerful is Hurricane Milton?

Milton was downgraded to a Category 4 hurricane earlier this morning, but the NHC said it still posed “an extremely serious threat to Florida”.

Mr DeSantis described it as a “really significant” hurricane.

The storm intensified quickly on Monday, becoming a Category 5 storm in the afternoon with maximum sustained winds of 180 mph (285 kph) before being downgraded.

A view of near-empty shelves of bread at a Walmart as Hurricane Milton approaches, in Tampa, Florida, U.S., October 6, 2024. REUTERS/Octavio Jones
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A view of near-empty shelves of bread at a Walmart as Hurricane Milton approaches, in Tampa, Florida. Pic: Reuters

Tom Murphy prepares a sandbag with children, as sandbags are distributed to Pinellas County residents before the expected arrival of Tropical Storm Milton, in Seminole, Florida, U.S. October 6, 2024. REUTERS/Octavio Jones
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Sandbags are distributed to Pinellas County residents before the expected arrival of Milton, in Seminole, Florida. Pic: Reuters

The strongest Atlantic hurricane on record is Allen in 1980, which reached wind speeds of 190mph (306 kph) as it moved through the Caribbean and Gulf before striking Texas and Mexico.

Milton became the third-fastest intensifying storm on record in the Atlantic Ocean, the US National Hurricane Centre said, and its path from west to east was also unusual, as Gulf hurricanes typically form in the Caribbean Sea and make landfall after traveling west and turning north.

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Hasn’t the US just had a hurricane?

Yes, the area Hurricane Milton is forecast to hit was already devastated by Hurricane Helene just 12 days ago.

Helene, which also affected Georgia, North and South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia and Kentucky, killed at least 230 people and caused devastating flooding and destruction.

Helene is also set to have a massive effect on Milton – Florida residents are scrambling to clear debris of the initial storm, as it could turn into projectiles when Hurricane Milton makes landfall, Sky’s US partner network NBC News reports.

What if I have travel plans in Florida?

Tampa International Airport said it planned to stop flights at 9am local time on Tuesday. The airport posted on X that it is not a shelter for people or their cars.

Meanwhile, St Pete-Clearwater International Airport said it is in a mandatory evacuation zone and will close after the last flight leaves on Tuesday.