Sports

How the first 17 games of the Stanley Cup playoffs will influence the rest of the first round

How the first 17 games of the Stanley Cup playoffs will influence the rest of the first round

The

Pick the winners and crown your Stanley Cup champion! Create A Bracket

The Leafs’ winger tends to come alive in the postseason, with consistent production (he’s tallied 40 points in 50 playoff games to date) and Toronto’s usually potent offensive attack has been dulled without Nylander in the mix. Credit to Boston there too, of course; the Bruins have been stingy offering up scoring opportunities.

And then there’s a trickle-down effect through the rest of Toronto’s top nine without Nylander available, from slotting rookie Matthew Knies onto the second line to keeping Nick Robertson — a healthy scratch on a number of occasions during the season — on the third line. Their lack of experience doesn’t give Toronto the same obvious advantage having Nylander on the ice would offer (although Knies did score Toronto’s opening marker in Game 3, off a pretty pass from Mitch Marner).

Plus, the Leafs’ listless power play would benefit from a Nylander boost — Toronto entered Game 3 having gone 1-6 with the extra man, and the Leafs immediately added to their own disappointment with five scoreless power plays in Wednesday’s outing. Timothy Liljegren is no replacement there for what Nylander does. The Leafs need their 40-goal scorer back, badly. — Shilton


Was the Avs’ performance in Game 2 a breakthrough or a blip?

A first-period deficit overcome. A second period in which the Colorado Avalanche scored four goals from four different players. A solid performance from Alexandar Georgiev, stopping 28 of the 30 shots he faced just days after he allowed seven goals in a Game 1 loss.

All of that led to a 5-2 Avs win, tying their series against the Winnipeg Jets. Could those trends play a role in the Avs reversing their fortunes against a Jets team that’s given them significant problems throughout the season?

Part of the narrative entering this series was how the Jets were 3-0 against the Avs in the regular season, outscoring them by a 17-4 margin. That includes a 7-0 loss back on April 13, an acute cause for concern in Colorado.

That’s what made Game 1 so fascinating. On one hand, the Avs scored more goals in one game against the Jets than they did in three games in the regular season. On the other hand, the Jets scored seven goals for a second straight game against Colorado.

So does Game 2 mean the Avs have found an answer — or are at least closer to finding an answer against the Jets? Or was Game 2 an outlier against a Jets team that might strike back with an offensive outburst in Game 3? — Clark

play

0:38

Connor Hellebuyck’s epic blunder leads to an Avalanche goal

Connor Hellebuyck comes out of the crease but slips on the ice, leading to a Colorado goal.


The Lightning’s depth is due to shine

If there’s one thing that’s helped drive the Tampa Bay Lightning‘s success in recent seasons, it’s depth. The Lightning have prioritized adding players at the deadline who enhance — and complement — their core stars, and GM Julien BriseBois did that again grabbing Anthony Duclair and Matt Dumba in March.

But Tampa Bay isn’t repeating the rewards of a deep roster yet in their series against the Florida Panthers … yet. The Lightning are in an 0-2 hole after scoring only four goals (and only two at 5-on-5) through two games — a pair from Steven Stamkos, one from Brandon Hagel and another from Brayden Point.

The Lightning have looked top-heavy, and that’s not necessarily a recipe for success when the Panthers have three lines that can do damage (and Florida has already shown a killer instinct when it comes to scoring timely goals).

Now, if it weren’t for The Save by Sergei Bobrovsky on Dumba in Game 2, this could be an entirely different conversation. But as it is the Lightning will be desperate for offense going into Game 3 of a series where they have yet to hold a lead. That in itself is a tough pill to swallow. — Shilton


Edmonton Oilers goalie Stuart Skinner and Los Angeles Kings goalie Cam Talbot were both not very good in Game 2. But Talbot made a few key saves in the Kings’ win, including a breakaway stop on Ryan McLeod and two huge saves on Leon Draisaitl on a late second-period power play, while Skinner did not.

“They’re getting some good puck luck right now. And the puck luck wasn’t on my side tonight,” Skinner said after the 5-4 overtime loss on Wednesday night. “Every shot that they take seemed to go off a guy’s stick or a guy’s skate.”

No one expects Skinner to dominate in the postseason. He had an .883 save percentage and a 3.68 goals-against average in 12 starts last postseason. He’s the classic “you don’t have to win us a series, but you can’t lose us a series” goaltender behind a strong contending team.

Through two games against Los Angeles, he has an .857 save percentage, having given up nine goals on 63 shots. Both games had their share of funky deflections and defensive breakdowns in front of Skinner, but Game 2 was close to that “don’t lose us the series” concern.

“Any time he’s had an off game, he’s been able to play very well for us,” Oilers coach Kris Knoblauch said.

The coach noted a game back in Dec. 2023 when Skinner gave up five goals on 22 shots to the Lightning. He would go on to win 12 of his next 13 games, giving up only one goal in six of those victories.

After the Kings tied the series 1-1 on Anze Kopitar‘s overtime goal, Skinner sounded like someone confident that he can rebound for the Oilers.

“Games like this, where you feel like the universe is against you and the puck’s not working well for you, it’s part of life. It’s part of playoffs too. I’m sure I’ll feel this again at some point,” he said. “The takeaway from tonight is to just wash it out. I know my game and I know who I am.” — Wyshynski


The Predators’ new playoff identity

Blocking 30 shots in their series-tying 4-1 win Tuesday against the Vancouver Canucks is just the latest example of the defensive identity the Nashville Predators have established during Andrew Brunette’s first season in charge.

His time as the interim coach of the Panthers and as an assistant with the New Jersey Devils saw those teams score goals at a furious rate with Brunette behind the bench. While the Preds finished 10th in goals per game this season (3.24), there was also an emphasis on defense that Brunette preached throughout the season. The message he relayed to the Predators’ players was to operate as a five-player unit that could eventually thrive in situations that saw them play without the puck.

Game 2 might have been the strongest example of how the Preds found success without needing the puck. Natural Stat Trick’s metrics show the Canucks had a 74.42 shot share percentage, which meant they controlled the puck for nearly three-fourths of the game but struggled to score due in part to the Preds blocking 30 shots.

Getting in the way of all of those shots allowed them to create less work for Juuse Saros, who saved 17 of the 18 that got through. It’s also the first time all season that Saros finished a game with fewer than 20 saves that didn’t involve him getting pulled. — Clark


Have the Islanders learned their lesson?

There are some positives the New York Islanders can take from their two games against the Carolina Hurricanes. They played the Canes evenly through two periods in Game 1. They built a 3-0 lead in the first 23:54 of Game 2. But they lost both games in the third period — and in an extremely painful manner in that Game 2 loss, as the Hurricanes scored the game-tying and winning goals just nine seconds apart.

“This one’s long from over, but right now, this one hurts the gut,” Islanders captain Anders Lee said after the 5-3 loss in Raleigh in Game 2. Coach Patrick Roy said the team stopped winning one-on-one battles. Defenseman Noah Dobson said the Islanders tried to sit on a lead rather than continue pushing. That manifested in a 110-to-28 shot attempt advantage for Carolina in the game.

So it becomes gut-check time for the Islanders in Game 3 on Thursday night. They’ll swap out goalie Semyon Varlamov in favor of Ilya Sorokin. They’ll try to feed off their home fans like Carolina did theirs. And as star forward Mathew Barzal said a few times on Wednesday, they’ll try and stay in the right mindset for a rally.

“We were pissed off. There’s no hiding that. There wasn’t a ton of smiles after that,” Barzal said. “But this is the playoffs. We’re in good spirits here, regardless of the [series] score. We have a chance now at an epic comeback.” — Wyshynski